4.8 Example #1: Estimate the Baseline Slope

Let’s look at an example together. We want to increase this behavior. Let’s go through the steps. First, we’ll estimate the baseline slope. Here’s an arrow showing the slope of baseline.

A graph comparing baseline and treatment data.

Are the actual treatment data DIFFERENT than what you would have predicted, given the baseline data?

Estimate the baseline slope

Extend that line into the treatment phase

Evaluate whether the slope or level of the actual treatment data are different from what you predicted

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